Quarter final action kick starts this Friday in both ATP tour events in St. Petersburg and Vienna. We look at some clashes which offer good value to tennis value bettors:
ATP St. Petersburg
Taylor Fritz vs John Millman
John Millman sensationally beat last week’s ATP Moscow and ATP Dubai champion Aslan Karatsev 6-3, 6-2 yesterday and made his best start to a tournament this year in St. Petersburg losing just seven games. His opponent, Taylor Fritz has played some fine tennis to beat Emil Ruusuvuori and Tommy Paul in the opening two rounds and will be looking to make it 6/6 for quarter final wins this season.
We expect Taylor Fritz to take this one, but not without a fight from the Australian.
Back over 22.5 games @ 2.00
Back Fritz to win @ 1.40
Jan-Lennard Struff vs Denis Shapovalov
The Canadian Shapovalov has struggled for form and consistency this season losing matches cheaply against Vit Kopriva in Gstaad and Benoit Paire in Cincinnati. He will be buoyed by his convincing comeback against Pablo Andujar but will know a tougher test awaits in the quarters.
Jan-Lennard Struff won consecutive matches for the first time since the French Open and was especially impressive in his 6-4, 6-3 win against the big serving Alexander Bublik.
Struff leads the H2H against Shapovalov 4-2 with Shapovalov winning their only meeting this year comfortably 6-1, 6-3 in Dubai. We expect the German to put up a good fight here and take a set.
Back Struff to win a set @ 1.60
Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Marin Cilic
Marin Cilic was impressive in his last round, coming back from 1-4 down in the third set to beat Karen Khachanov 6-4, 6-7, 6-4. The former ATP world #3 has not been at his best all of 2021, but has a good record on indoor hard courts (8/2 win/loss). Roberto Bautista-Agut, his opponent, got back to winning ways with a comfortable 6-3, 6-2 win against Mackenzie Mcdonald. The Spaniard will take heart from the fact that he has a solid record in St. Petersburg, winning his last four QF appearances in 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018.
Marin Cilic leads the H2H 5-2, but more importantly holds a 3-0 record on indoor hard courts. We expect this trend to continue.
Back Cilic to win @ 1.90
Frances Tiafoe vs Diego Schwartzman
Diego Schwartzman has a fondness for playing in Vienna and Antwerp, where twenty of his 27 wins on indoor hard courts have come. His opponent, the talented American Frances Tiafoe stunned top seed Stefanos Tsitsipas by coming back from a set and 0-3 down to take the last round 3-6, 6-3, 6-4.
Although Schwartzman leads the H2H 2-0, we expect the American has enough weapons in such conditions to trouble the Argentine.
Back Tiafoe to win a set @ 1.55